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Scenario Planning in Organizations: How to Create, Use, and Assess Scenarios. Thomas Chermack, Andrew H. Van de Ven
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ISBN: 9781605094137 | 288 pages | 8 Mb
- Scenario Planning in Organizations: How to Create, Use, and Assess Scenarios
- Thomas Chermack, Andrew H. Van de Ven
- Page: 288
- Format: pdf, ePub, fb2, mobi
- ISBN: 9781605094137
- Publisher: Berrett-Koehler Publishers, Inc.
Online books ebooks downloads free Scenario Planning in Organizations: How to Create, Use, and Assess Scenarios
Scenario planning helps organization leaders, executives and decision-makers envision and develop strategies for multiple possible futures instead of just one. It enables organizations to become resilient and agile, carefully calibrating their responses and adapting quickly to new circumstances in a fast-changing environment. This book is the most comprehensive treatment to date of the scenario planning process. Unlike existing books it offers a thorough discussion of the evolution and theoretical foundations of scenario planning, examining its connections to learning theory, decision-making theory, mental model theory and more. Chermack emphasizes that scenario planning is far more than a simple set of steps to follow, as so many other practice-focused books do—he addresses the subtleties and complexities of planning. And, unique among scenario planning books, he deals not just with developing different scenarios but also with applying scenarios once they have been constructed, and assessing the impact of the scenario project. Using a case study based on a real scenario project Chermack lays out a comprehensive five phase scenario planning system—project preparation, scenario exploration, scenario development, scenario implementation and project assessment. Each chapter describes specific techniques for gathering and analyzing relevant data with a particular emphasis on the use of workshops to encourage dialogue. He offers a scenario project worksheet to help readers structure and manage scenario projects as well as avoid common pitfalls, and a discussion, based in recent neurological findings, of how scenario planning helps people to overcome barriers to creative thinking. “This book is about action and performance. Compelling and thoroughly researched, it offers every business executive a playbook for including uncertainty in the organizational change process and driving competitive advantage”. — Tim Reynolds, Vice President, Talent and Organization Effectiveness, Whirlpool Corporation
About Scenarios | The Grandfather Project
Scenario planning has long been used by the U.S. Department of Defense and its It is a strategic planning method that some organizations use to make flexible . Based on the scenarios, we assess where more information is needed.
GBN : Why Scenarios?
Scenarios are stories about how the future might unfold for our organizations, our of scenario thinking is not to identify the most likely future, but to create a map of a narrow, blinkered view of the future and invested in scenario planning. The goal of this phase is to clarify the issue at stake, and to use that issue as an
Land use-transportation scenario planning: promise and reality
While the most recent examples of scenario planning indicate that some of uses scenarios to assess the future—a ''scenario planning'' process—utilizes a series Metropolitan Planning Organizations that were not also NARC members .
Scenario Planning | Association of Research Libraries® | ARL®
The project created a set of future scenarios and a toolkit to facilitate research library leaders' use of the scenarios in their library planning and decision making
Chapter 11. Scenario Planning - Center for Sustainable Cities
Scenario planning allows a community to consider a variety of plausible futures by taking business organization by reducing or increasing labor supply or the demand for certain . driving forces are used to generate alternative scenarios. use of scenarios is to assess the feasibility of existing strategies to meet the
SCENARIOS IN AN ORGANIZATIONAL PERSPECTIVE - Igitur
There is considerable variation in scenario type of corporate planning must have a position in the organization assessment and related kinds of impact assessment are increasingly options, projects to generate and test scenarios have become a familiar phe- was chosen that included the use of double- decker.
Questioning Scenarios: a scenario planning - Metafuture.org
Moreover, he argues that scenario planning must not only use Australia, agrees with Molitor's assessment of the limitations of scenarios. . eventualities, they make the organization more flexible and more innovative. Two.
plotting and navigating a non-linear roadmap - Kellogg School of
Both approaches, but particularly scenario planning, strive to specify and The empirical observations regarding the use of existing tools and the Naturally, who is involved in the process will vary based on organizational structures and cultures. Once scenarios are defined and assessed, the often complex, unexpected
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